Examining the Nexus between External Debt and Economic Growth in Bangladesh: An ARDL-ECM Approach

Authors

  • Imtiaz Ahmed Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank
  • Mobasshir Anjum Chief Economist’s Unit, Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka
  • Md Mahmudul Hasan Research Department, Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka
  • Sahabuddin Ahmed Seikdear Monetary Policy Department, Bangladesh Bank, Dhaka

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3329/iubatr.v5i1.64589

Keywords:

External Debt; Economic Growth; ARDL; Error Correction Method.

Abstract

This paper aims to examine the nexus between external debt and economic growth in Bangladesh for periods ranging from 1973 to 2019. Time-series econometric techniques of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL) and Error Correction Method (ECM) are utilized in empirical analysis to investigate whether short-run and long-run dynamics exist between external debt and the growth of Bangladesh. Findings derived from the analysis reveal a long-run association between external debt and Bangladesh's economic growth. The error correction method also points out long-run adjustment if any disequilibrium arises in a period in the short run. The study recommends maintaining a stable position of overseas debt and ensuring compatible investment conditions for domestic and foreign investors.

IUBAT Review—A Multidisciplinary Academic Journal, 5 (1): 26-34

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Published

2022-12-29

How to Cite

Ahmed, I. ., Anjum, M., Hasan, M. M. ., & Seikdear, S. A. . (2022). Examining the Nexus between External Debt and Economic Growth in Bangladesh: An ARDL-ECM Approach. IUBAT Review, 5(1), 26–34. https://doi.org/10.3329/iubatr.v5i1.64589

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Section

Original Article